Spectrum demand forecasting methodologies

Plum reviewed the methods used for spectrum estimation historically and recommends a methodology for a GSMA assessment of spectrum demand as an input paper into the WRC15 preparatory work.

The report considered:

  • Traffic demand forecasting out to 2025
  • Economic influences on long term demand
  • An appropriate methodology for spectrum forecasting.

Plum also illustrated how spectrum demand calculations could vary according to a range of reasonable assumptions based on the GSMA model for M2M developed by Aegis and Plum in 2010.